
Today's announcement that a contract to build super trains would "create or secure 12,500" UK jobs is at best botched, and at worst cynical.
The very fact that they put "create or secure" in front of the number immediately rang alarm bells in my head.
After speaking to Agility Trains chief exec Alistair Dormer, Lord Adonis and Geoff Hoon this is what I've sussed out.
There will be 200 to 500 definite jobs at a factory to be opened in the UK by Hitachi.
Supposedly there will be a further 2,000 definite jobs.
But there is only an absolute guarantee of 1,300 of those – as positions to maintain the train cars – being UK based.
Transport Minister Lord Adonis said he couldn’t yet say where these 1,300 or the remaining 700 of the 2,000 – at other UK depots and in the supply chain – would be spread.
Hoon admitted the remaining “10,000” jobs – made up of new positions in the national supply chain brought about by the contract and existing ones “secured” – was merely an “estimate”.
Here is the killer – the estimate was in part put forward by Agility as part of its bid to win the contract. Of course the firm would paint its bid in a positive light.
The real job numbers will depend on how much Hitachi, which has an already established global supply chain, eventually relies on the UK supply chain.
But it has no legal obligation to use any British suppliers – in fact it would be illegal under EU law for Hitachi to specify suppliers at this point.

If the Department for Transport had said “this will create 500 UK jobs” in the first instance, that would be something close to a solid story.
But by throwing this purely speculative 12,500 figure out there, they undermine any good news there is at the root of it.