Tuesday 1 December 2009

Hung Parliament?

When a poll is favourable a politician hails it as a reflection of the public’s will. If it’s not, they say – “there’s only one poll that matters, and that’s the one on election day.”

For months it’s been Labour lips urging commentators to wait for the poll that matters, but for the first time a Tory MP spouted the same line to me this morning.

We were chatting about the ComRes poll for the Indy which suggests the next election will result in a hung Parliament, the second to do so.

It’s not a massive blow to Cameron considering another poll by YouGov recently said they had a lead in key marginal seats in the North.

But it will plant an itchy seed of doubt that should spur Cameron to shift up a gear.

Moreover, it should bolster Labour MPs who have been looking for evidence that the Tory leader has really “not sealed the deal”, the line they’ve been hopefully gushing while their party has wondered electoral wastelands.

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