Friday, 7 November 2008

On Brown's victory


A very experienced hack said to me yesterday that Brown's by-election defeat in Glenrothes couldn't be coming at a better time.

The economic crisis was still in people's minds and he had managed to make headway in the polls.

Such a defeat now, said the hack, would be far less damaging than if it had come eight weeks ago.

In fact, it was exactly the two things which the hack supposed made conditions right for the defeat, that actually led to Brown's victory.

Oddly, even though it seems more logical that the PM's handling of the crisis and his rising poll figures should equate to a victory everyone still assumed he would lose.

It's always good to know we can be surprised.

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